Possible next Civil War Alignments for American States?

Is it time to consider making your next Big Move based upon which State do you want to be in when the Next Civil War breaks out?

Hypothetically, major political fissures could cause a Civil War. Now you listed 22 States in the Birthright Citizenship legal action. But I’m thinking these would be the Confederate States in another Civil war. Which would be on the Confederate side too? List all and the Union Side too. Just for thought.

It’s important to preface this by stating that this is a purely hypothetical exercise based on current political alignments and economic factors, and in reality, the causes and sides of a civil conflict would be far more complex and unpredictable.

If we were to assume a major political fissure leads to a civil war, and the 22 states that sued over birthright citizenship (largely “blue” states) form one side, here’s a speculative breakdown:

The “Confederate” Side (States likely to align with the more conservative/Republican viewpoint):

These states generally exhibit characteristics such as: strong Republican voting majorities, significant social conservative movements, strong gun rights advocacy, and often, economies with strong agricultural or traditional industrial sectors, or a significant military presence that might align with more conservative values.

  • Deep Red States:
    • Wyoming
    • West Virginia
    • Idaho
    • North Dakota
    • Oklahoma
    • Alabama
    • Kentucky
    • Arkansas
    • Tennessee
    • South Dakota
    • Mississippi
    • Utah
    • Montana
    • Louisiana
    • Missouri
    • Kansas
    • Nebraska
  • Strongly Leaning Red/Swing States that could lean “Confederate”:
    • Texas (strong Republican lean, large military presence)
    • Florida (strong Republican lean, large military presence)
    • South Carolina (strong Republican lean, large military presence)
    • Indiana (strong Republican lean, significant manufacturing)
    • Ohio (leans Republican, significant manufacturing)
    • Georgia (leans Republican, large military presence)
    • Alaska (strong Republican lean, significant military presence)
    • New Hampshire (leans Republican, but with a libertarian streak)
    • Iowa (leans Republican, strong agricultural economy)

The “Union” Side (States that sued over birthright citizenship, generally more liberal/Democratic):

These states tend to have: strong Democratic voting majorities, significant progressive movements, stricter gun laws, and often, diverse economies with strong technology, service, or advanced manufacturing sectors.

  • California
  • New York
  • Illinois
  • Massachusetts
  • Maryland
  • New Jersey
  • Washington
  • Oregon
  • Hawaii
  • Vermont
  • Connecticut
  • Delaware
  • Rhode Island
  • Minnesota
  • Colorado
  • New Mexico
  • Nevada
  • Michigan
  • Wisconsin
  • Arizona (increasingly leans Democratic)
  • North Carolina (swing state, but was part of the lawsuit)
  • Maine (leans Democratic, though has split electoral votes)
  • Washington, D.C. (solidly Democratic)
  • Virginia (has become more Democratic in recent years, also with a significant military presence which adds complexity)

States that could be “swing states” or highly contested in such a scenario, possibly even split internally:

  • Pennsylvania (historically a swing state)
  • Ohio (leaning red but with industrial heritage and some Democratic strongholds)
  • Florida (leans red, but significant urban centers are Democratic)
  • North Carolina (as mentioned, a key swing state)
  • Arizona (as mentioned, increasingly competitive)
  • Georgia (recently swung blue in presidential elections, but has a strong conservative base)
  • New Hampshire (leans Republican in some elections, but generally moderate)

This is a highly simplified and hypothetical scenario, as real-world conflicts are driven by a multitude of factors, and allegiances can be fluid.